WTI Weekly Close — Base vs Scenario
Driver Contribution Breakdown
| OPEC+ cut/hike | $0.00 |
| Demand growth/contraction | $0.00 |
| Geopolitical risk premium | $0.00 |
| USD strength | $0.00 |
| US rig count change | $0.00 |
| Net delta from base | $0.00 |
| Projected WTI | $73.50 |
Elasticity model (simplified): OPEC cut +1M bpd → +$4/bbl · demand +1% → +$1.80/bbl · geo risk = direct add · USD +1% → −$0.90/bbl · rigs +10 → −$0.35/bbl. For educational use.